Promising News from FiveThirtyEight.com

After incorporating recent polling information, FiveThirtyEight.com is putting Obama's chances of victory at 96.3%:

FiveThirtyEight's composites of polling in battleground states:

Colorado: Obama +6.3
Florida: Obama +2.8*
Iowa: Obama +13.7
Indiana: Obama +1.6*
Missouri: Obama +1.7*
North Carolina: Obama +1.7*
Nevada: Obama +2*
Ohio: Obama +3.6*
Pennsylvania: Obama +10.7
Virginia: Obama +6.8

The Bad news: Asterisks mark states where Obama's lead (according to this composite) is within the margin of error.

The Good news: Even if McCain wins every single one of the asterisked states, he won't reach 270 unless he also wins Pennsylvania's 21 EVs.